Saturday, February 15, 2020

US airways's new Market - China Term Paper Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 2750 words

US airways's new Market - China - Term Paper Example It is a subsidiary of the US Airways Group with its headquarters in Temple, Arizona. The airline company operates both domestically and internationally. Being one of the biggest names, it would obviously want to explore the Asian markets. However, the major determining factor in this regard would be the pricing of fuel in the coming fiscal year, the economic scenario and the state of the aviation fleet. Interestingly, the company had already received permission from the sovereign authority to fly from Philadelphia to China back in 2008. However, due to the global economic slowdown, the project got delayed. This paper aims to understand the impact of the business environment of China on the expansion of US Airways and the possible marketing strategies to be adopted. Under the leadership of MAO Zedong, China had developed as a socialist state. However since 1978, under the leadership of DENG Xiaoping and with a favorable attitude towards globalization, a pro-market economic structure had materialized with a positive outcome through an increased GDP (â€Å"East & Southeast Asia: China†). The majority of the population is Buddhist with Christians and Muslims forming the minority. Chinese population is equally distributed between the urban and rural areas such that only 50% of the population lives in the urban areas with the rate of urbanization hovering around a mere 2% (â€Å"East & Southeast Asia: China†). Occupationally, majority of the population are engaged in the agricultural sector (around 50%), even though agriculture makes a relatively lesser contribution in GDP, while the shares in the industry and services sector stand around 22% and 28% respectively (Yoo 187). Level of education Figure 2: Education level in China Source: (â€Å"East & Southeast Asia: China†) Mobility In the wake of the pro-market reforms and globalization, China’s occupational mobility is undergoing paradigm shifts (â€Å"Occupational Mobility and Migration in China†). This is causing a rapid change in the age-old social division, according to occupational natur e. Due to the increasing unemployment and large lay-offs by government and private enterprises, the masses are increasingly migrating to the urban areas in search of employment. Both the mobility between jobs and places has increased on this account. This will be an added advantage for US Airways. Transportation The traditional form of transportation in China revolves around the railways. However, roadways, airports and waterways also comprise the other forms of transportation. The total area covered by the roads is 4,106,387 km with a paved length of 3,453,890 km and unpaved length of

Sunday, February 2, 2020

Legal Aspects of E-commerce Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 5000 words

Legal Aspects of E-commerce - Essay Example Responsibility and privacy are issues that touch on the law, though they are perhaps best characterized as aspects of common sense conduct. The political response to ecommerce, particularly its expression in regulatory and taxation policies, is a further source of potential uncertainty for the ecommerce player. The ease of finding and copying information on the web leads many users think that the copyright is unsustainable in the wired world, though this has been a false impression. Works published on the web enjoy the same rights as other forms of publication. The world intellectual property organization (WIPO) copyright treaty and performances and Phonograms Treaty of 1996 extended the Berne convention on the copyright to include digital applications. Arguably, copyright is easier to defend online, as it is simple for a comply to run a regular search on its own content to see if it appears in unexpected place. Intellectual property unique to the ecommerce arena include domain names and business process patents On the firmer ground of patent law, ecommerce has created something of a stir. Patents are being granted for a range of business process that are, in the opinion of many, generic ecommerce techniques. However, Jay Walker, founder of Priceline.com, who pursues intellectual property break through his walker Digital Company, believes the novel modes of commercial practice in ecommerce channels can amount to legitimate innovations. "Walker Digital is about reengineering the DNA of the future of business" Walker declares. "What we hope is that a group of thoughtful people can together reinvent whole sectors of the global economy. And not only can we reinvent them, we can own those inventions." 1 Of course, reengineering is itself the bane of all attempts to protect intellectual property. Ecommerce patents currently remain unchallenged, but the generic nature of many of them may enable competitors to formulate alternatives that achieve similar ends without infringements. In any case; interest in filing business process patents certainly forces companies to spend on patent lawyers rather than on software and service development. This may help the image of a startup, however, the ability to prove early and continuos commercial use of technology is likely to be important Meanwhile the cost of defending a claim of intellectual property infringement will often be more than the cost of paying royalties to the claimant. Smaller companies have long complained that larger companies restrict their movements with walls of patents." As always, the cost of litigation is a form of social tax on business. Responsibility and Privacy. The abstract quality of the web and its apparent autonomous existence as a medium of communication and business often cause uncertainty about personal and corporate ownership of the acts committed through it. Responsibility for content and transactions is not always as clear as in the traditional commercial world, where formal and informal codes of conduct have consolidated over many generations of use. Reliance on electronic communications mediated by network and machines whose functions are mysterious to the majority of users raises suspicion about privacy and its accidental or malicious betrayal. In one sense, the internet is the ultimate bureaucracy- a faceless solicitor,

Saturday, January 25, 2020

Man Vs. Himself In The Scarlet Letter by Hawthorne :: essays research papers

A great deal of blood has been shed and many wars have been fought during the history of civilization; however, man’s greatest battle and most formidable enemy is only himself. This has been made only more evident with the passage of time and the development of the human character. However, one factor that has remained constant in the human character through this development is conscience. Conscience can be man’s saving grace or his damning affliction; its presence may simultaneously purify and mar. As contradictory as this may sound, it has been explored in depth by Nathaniel Hawthorne who chronicles one man’s battle against himself in The Scarlet Letter. In this novel, an anguished Arthur Dimmesdale struggles to pacify his conscience and withhold the secret of his sin from being known. As his conscience continues to consume all that is his very essence, Arthur Dimmesdale illustrates Hawthorne’s theme of a sin-stained conscience and redemption only through truth. The novel begins to delve into the heart and conscience of Arthur Dimmesdale when Roger Chillingworth questions him about his thoughts on sinners and their secrets. Feeling full well the torment of his own secret, Arthur proclaims that those who hold such "miserable secrets†¦will yield them up that last day†¦with a joy unutterable." By this expression, Arthur offers a glimpse into his tortured heart and shows how heavy a burden his secret is. When Chillingworth further inquires about such sinful secrets, Arthur holds his hand to his breast, a motion that he carries out as "if afflicted with an importunate throb of pain." Evidently Arthur does this frequently, and the reader is presented with the thought that this gesture possibly is not done as much out of physical suffering as spiritual suffering. Not only is the health of Arthur’s body in question, but the condition of his heart, his soul, is dubious. A supernatural light is later shed upon this question as Chillingworth uncovers the secret Arthur had tried to keep intact. It is visible to him as he pulls aside Arthur’s ministerial robe: a scarlet letter A upon his chest. Although Hawthorne lets this aspect of the novel remain ambiguous, this engraving on Arthur’s chest suggests that the burden of his sin had seeped so deeply within him, it has now forced its way outside; it is at all his levels. At this point in the novel, Arthur’s sin had begun, if it had not already succeeded, in consuming him. Arthur’s conscience was now stained with sin, and its weight will

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Swire Swot

Such issues increase the operating costs of the group which may adversely impact Swore Pacifism's results of operations profitability. Swore Pacific has operations in Asia, Europe and North America. Despite having a global presence, the group's operations are concentrated in Asia, mostly in Hong Kong. During PAYOFF, the group generated about 89. 4% of its revenues from Asia out of which 51. 3% were generated from Hong Kong only. Overconfidence on one geographic region makes it susceptible to changes associated with the economic and political situation of the country.Concentrated operations could also make Swore Pacific uncompetitive against rivals who have globally diversified operations. Partnerships and Joint ventures enhancing business The group is expanding its presence through partnerships and Joint ventures. In December 2013, Swore Foods Holdings Limited, a subsidiary of Swore Pacific, formed a 60/40 coffee Joint venture for Hong Kong and Mainland China with Movements Foods Lic ensing, a subsidiary of Movements Holding GAG.Movements Foods Licensing will contribute its brand and its coffee expertise to the new company, while Swore Foods Holdings will provide an area-wide distribution network and its knowledge of the Mainland Chinese market. Similarly, Swore Properties, through Marvel Glory Limited, a joint venture company formed with other partners, entered into an agreement to acquire a wholly-owned subsidiary of CITE Pacific Limited which indirectly owns DC Commercial Centre, in December 2013. These Joint ventures could enhance the group's business and improve its market share.Increasing spending on food in merging markets As the global economic shift towards the emerging economies continues, opportunities for several industries including the food and beverage manufacturing sector are created. According to industry estimates, approximately 58% of processed food is consumed by developing countries, owing to factors like a rapid increase in population in th ese countries. Furthermore, by 2050, it is expected that nearly 72% of the food consumption will happen in the developing countries supported by the fact and India. Swore Pacific derived 21% of its total revenues in PAYOFF through its beverages segment.The beverages segment of the group has the rights to manufacture, market and distribute the products of the Coca-Cola Company in Hong Kong, Taiwan, seven provinces in Mainland China and in the western US. Counting on these huge markets being created, companies like Swore Pacific are increasing their investments in emerging countries and looking at expanding their businesses. This trend of increasing spending on food in emerging markets is likely to increase the group's Beverages business. Page 6 As a global business, Swore Pacific is vulnerable to several local business risks in different countries.The group may increasingly become exposed to changing political, social, legal and regulatory obligations at the national and internationa l level, such as those required by the European Union or the World Trade Organization. These regulations include changes in tariffs and trade barriers; competition law requirements, such as restrictions on the group's ability to own or operate subsidiaries or acquire new businesses in certain Jurisdictions; delays in the process of obtaining or maintaining licenses, permits and governmental approvals necessary to operate certain businesses; and environmental laws and regulations.These regulations could have an adverse impact on the group's strategic planning and geographic expansion. Swore Pacifism's principal business operations face significant competition across the diverse markets in which they operate. New market entrants, intensification of price competition by existing competitors, product innovation or technical advancement could adversely concern the group's financial condition and results of operations. The group faces several competitive risks across its divisions.In mari ne services division, with a large number of newly built vessels continuing to enter the offshore racket, increased competition is expected to result in further pressure on charter rates. This could result in a decline in Swore Pacifism's revenues. Similarly, in the property business, an increasing number of developers are undertaking property investment and development in China, which could result in lower returns achieved on the group's property developments.Intense competition in the group's key divisions could impact the group's financial condition and results of The demand for petroleum and related products has historically been cyclical and sensitive to the availability and prices of oil and related feedstock. Historically, international prices of crude oil and refined products have fluctuated widely due to many factors that are beyond the control of companies like Swore Pacific, which has substantial interest in the aviation business through Catchy Pacific group, the HASTE gr oup and YACHT.Fuel prices and availability are subject to wide price fluctuations based on geopolitical issues and supply and demand, which can neither be controlled nor accurately predicted. The high Jet fuel price had a major impact on Catchy Pacifism's operating results in 2012. Regardless of the effect of fuel hedging, Catchy Pacifism's fuel costs increased by HOOK$323 million ($41. 6 million) (or 0. 8%) in 2012. The Jet fuel price, which was $12. 7 per million British thermal unit (Btu) in 2009 is expected to reach $23. 7 per million Btu in 2015.It is further forecast to grow to $27. 6 per million Btu by 2030. Furthermore, the political turmoil in the Middle East has impacted the oil prices. Page 7 Historically, fuel costs have generally represented 10% to 15% of an airline's operating costs, but due to volatility in prices over the past few years, fuel costs have been in the range of to 40% of total operating costs. Thus the increase in global ND regional oil prices exposes th e group to extreme fluctuations in earnings, which is likely to have an adverse consequence on its growth initiatives.Any inability to obtain Jet fuel at competitive prices would materially have an impact on Swore Pacifism's results of operation and financial condition. Page 8 Copyright of Swore Pacific, Ltd. SOOT Analysis is the property of Marketing, a Denominator business and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use.

Wednesday, January 8, 2020

The Classical View Of Employment And Income - 1523 Words

Through the main economic schools of thought I will explain why reaching full employment may not be possible. I will be going into detail on the classical view of full employment, and the Keynesian view of full employment to help you understand better how each school viewed full employment, and how to achieve it. The classical view gives you a look into the supply side of the economy using Say’s law and the Say’s law flow diagram. Most economists followed the classical view up until the 1930’s. Then John Maynard Keynes influenced the world with the Keynesian Revolution. Keynes believed that demand is what should be the focus instead of supply. He also believed that the economy tends towards equilibrium and not full employment. Both of these schools of thought bring interesting arguments against full employment and how they can achieve it. I feel I must begin with the classical view of employment and income. The classical view of employment and income began in 1776 and lasted all the way up until the early 1930’s. The main belief of the classical economists was that the economy would automatically adjust itself toward full employment. They got their predictions using â€Å"Say’s Law†, which means â€Å"Supply creates its own demand†. In other words that businesses would create enough income to produce the right amount of output. Say’s law explained that the economy would reach full employment if all the people seeking jobs were willing to work for the wage that is equal to theirShow MoreRelatedThe Classical Economists and Keynes: the Debate on Government Policy Activism1189 Words   |  5 Pageseconomist John Maynard Keynes, and the classical economists of his time, whose economic foundations lay in Alfred Marshall’s seminal work, the Principles of Economic. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the classical economist’s non-activist view on unemployment, and Keynes’s critical response to the classical economist and his belief the government should play an activist role in combating unemployment. One of the most important tenets of classical economics is that market economies automaticallyRead MoreEconomics : Classical Economics And Keynesian Economics1665 Words   |  7 Pageshighlight the key factors of the two theories of economics: classical economics and Keynesian economics. Since Classical Economics is considered to be the first school of economics. I will start to explain this concept first. In the 18th and 19th centuries, there was a group of economists that worked together to develop theories to explain how market to market relationship work between each other. The most important contributor to the classical school of economics was the great economist Adam smith,Read MoreFiscal Policy And Its Effects On Economic Growth1260 Words   |  6 Pageseconomy and lead to a multiplied rise in national income. This is known as an expansionary fiscal policy. Contrary, a deflationary (contractionary) fiscal policy will involve diminishing government expenditure and/or raising taxes. Fiscal policy can reduce unemployment by helping to increase aggregate demand and the rate of economic growth. The government, therefore, will peruse an expansionary fiscal policy. Lower taxes increase disposable income – income that households and non-corporate businessesRead MoreIntroduction. The Rising Unemployment Has Generated Challenges1381 Words   |  6 Pagesrising unemployment has generated challenges in low income communities. Unemployment involves a situation where people in a particular community are actively seeking employment but the employment rates are low. The increased rates of unemployment are contributed to by factors such as recession periods that adversely affects the economy. Impacts on the economy in turn affect the labor force leading to loss of employment and reducing the rates of employment opportunities in the country. The United StatesRead MoreThe Keynesian Era During The Middle Of The Nineteenth Century1720 Words   |  7 Pagesnineteenth centu ry, economists Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Mathus, and John Stuart Mill all shared somewhat similar economic views of the world. Some of the main concepts covered during this time included the division of labor, theories of rent, value, and distribution, theories of market â€Å"gluts† and population, and opportunity cost, competition, and trade. These classical economists believed capitalism was the foundation for an efficient economy where little to no government intervention was recognizedRead MoreMacroeconomic Theories Of Macroeconomics And Classical Economics999 Words   |  4 PagesThere are two major macroeconomic theories that economists use to describe the economy. Those theories are Keynesian and Classical. Each theory has a different approach to the economic study of monetary policies, consumer behaviors, and government spending. A few distinctions separate the two theories. Classical economics is the theory that free markets will restore full employment without government intervention. They believe that the markets function best without the government getting involved.Read MoreIs Lm Model On Economics Of The Twentieth Century?1037 Words   |  5 Pagesworld through this journal. This journal could be considered as an attempt to interpret and reassess Mr. Keynes’ General Theory of Empoyment within the typical â€Å"classic† theory framework and compare Keynes’ view and classical economists’ view. Mr. Hicks starts with setting the typical classical theory in a form that is similar to that where Mr. Keynes does his. He makes the same assumptions for the theory as Mr. Keynes does, which is first, the quantity of factors of production is all fixed and secondRead MoreThe Theory Of The Classical School1694 Words   |  7 Pages The classical school is one of the economic thoughts; the key assumption of this school is that the market system is the most efficient system in the sense that the unencumbered market mechanism ensures the optimal allocation and utilisation of scarce resources. They also believed that â€Å"Supply creates its own demand.† (The early debate on policy atavism) In other words, in the process of producing output, businesses would also create enough income to ensure that all of the output will be sold.Read MoreThe Classical Political Economy Developed Theories And Discuss On Their Different Characteristics910 Words   |  4 Pagesconsume goods that they don’t produce they sell or provide services then the income they gain from the services they purchase the goods that they want to consume. In this paper I will discuss the developed theories of the classical political economy developed theories and discuss on their different characteristics. These theories were mainly conce rned with the changing aspects of economic growth in different centuries. Classical political economy is the political economy during industrial revolutionRead MoreKeynesian Views On Money Price Relationship Essay1617 Words   |  7 Pages2.4 Keynesian Views on Money-Price Relationship Keynes accepted the classical view that increase in money supply causes rising prices or inflation only when the aggregate output corresponds to full employment and aggregate supply curve is vertical. Keynes published an article entitled ‘How to Pay for the War’ in 1940, in which he developed a demand side model incorporating inflation process with temporarily rigid prices in the labor market. The primary concern of Keynes was to provide space for

Tuesday, December 31, 2019

Describe the Importance of Quality Leadership and the...

FOUNDATION DEGREE IN HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE MANAGEMENTETHICS, LEADERSHIP AND INTERPROFESSIONAL WORKING IN HEALTH AND SOCIAL CAREHS4501-40Describe The Importance Of Quality Leadership And The Difference Between Leadership And Management Within A Health And Social Care Environment, And Explain The Ethical Value Framework Leaders Of Services Should Adhere To STUDENT ID: 213599 06/05/2011 WORD COUNT 3,606 | | Describe The Importance Of Quality Leadership And The Difference Between Leadership And Management Within A Health And Social Care Environment, And Explain The Ethical Value Framework Leaders Of Services Should Adhere To | | This essay†¦show more content†¦If care workers are in low mood and portray negativity to clients the low mood and negativity may rub off on the client. In the same way if care workers portray a positive mood this hopefully encouarges a good temperament in clients. Corrigan (2000) â€Å"Found that team leadership ratings independently accounted for 40% of the total variance in client satisfaction amongst mental health patients.† (cited in Haracre, et al 2011). The majority of organisations aspire to be in business on a long term basis. For this to happen there has to be enthusiasm, long term planning and vision. Choi and Behling (1997) suggest that transactional leaders demonstrate achieving immeidate goals and development converging on present success where as good transformational leadership inspires and develops long term success. (cited in Haracre, et al 2011) To discourage unsafe or inadequate quality practice quality leaders will aid their teams to overcome hindrances, encouarge them to learn from mistakes and focus on opportunities rather than failures. Bennis (Undated) proposes that quality leaders present an image of prominence that instigates to subordinates that they are accessible at all times. This encourages and urges w orkers to come forward and confess any blunders or mistakes and allow lessons to be learnt to stop the same errors happening in future. Edmondson’s (1996) study into error reporting found â€Å"repressive and dictatorial regimes are almost bound to produce data whichShow MoreRelatedNursing Is My Second Career2246 Words   |  9 Pages In this leadership role, I assist our medical director with managing the clinical portion of our program. I have currently reached a point in my professional career where I have exhausted my path of opportunity and challenges at my current academic level. My goal is to become the most effective clinician, and to make a positive difference in people’s lives by applying my practical life and nursing experiences, while having a satisfying and rewarding career that has meaning and value to me. IRead MoreLeadership for Health and Social Care and Children65584 Words   |  263 PagesQUALIFICATION HANDBOOK Level 5 Diploma in Leadership for Health and Social Care and Children and Young People’s Services (England) (3978-51/52/53/54/55/56) December 2011 Version 2.1 (July 2011) Qualification at a glance Subject area City Guilds number Age group approved Entry requirements Assessment Fast track Level 5 Diploma in Leadership for Health and Social Care and Children and Young People’s Services (England) 3978 19+ There are no entry requirements Portfolio of Evidence, PracticalRead MoreBaldrige National Quality Program45979 Words   |  184 Pages2008 Baldrige National Quality Program Education Criteria for Performance Excellence THE MALCOLM BALDRIGE NATIONAL QUALITY AWARD A Public-Private Partnership Building active partnerships in the private sector—and among the private sector and all levels of government—is fundamental to the success of the Baldrige National Quality Program in improving national competitiveness. Privatesector support for the Program in the form of funds, volunteer efforts, and participation in informationRead MoreEssay about Profession of Arms11066 Words   |  45 PagesAn Army White Paper: The Army Profession of Arms, Its Culture, and Ethic The overall objective of the Army Profession of Arms campaign is for Soldiers and leaders to refine their understanding of what it means to be professionals--expert members of the Profession of Arms--after nine years of war and to recommit to a culture of service and the responsibilities and behaviors of our profession as articulated in the Army Ethic. GEN Martin E. Dempsey, CG, TRADOC The preeminent military task, andRead MoreLibrary Management204752 Words   |  820 PagesCenter Management Recent Titles in Library and Information Science Text Series Library and Information Center Management, Sixth Edition Robert D. Stueart and Barbara B. Moran United States Government Information: Policies and Sources Peter Hernon, Harold C. Relyea, Robert E. Dugan, and Joan F. Cheverie Library Information Systems: From Library Automation to Distributed Information Access Solutions Thomas R. Kochtanek and Joseph R. Matthews The Complete Guide to Acquisitions Management FrancesRead MoreStephen P. Robbins Timothy A. 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This course is designed to provide you the foundations of HRM whether you intend to work in HRM or not, most of these elements will affect you at some point in your career. Either you will be working with some organizationsRead MoreHbr When Your Core Business Is Dying74686 Words   |  299 PagesPOLITICS†¦page 90 WHEN YOUR CORE BUSINESS IS DYING†¦page 66 Y GE SE PA IN DS CK R M WA A 53 www.hbr.org April 2007 58 What Your Leader Expects of You Larry Bossidy 66 Finding Your Next Core Business Chris Zook 78 Promise-Based Management: The Essence of Execution Donald N. Sull and Charles Spinosa 90 The Leadership Team: Complementary Strengths or Conï ¬â€šicting Agendas? Stephen A. Miles and Michael D. Watkins 100 Avoiding Integrity Land Mines Ben W. HeinemanRead MoreAnnotated Bibliography: Plagiarism39529 Words   |  158 Pagesï » ¿Plagiarism Bibliography Buckwalter, J. A., Wright, T., Mogoanta, L. and Alman, B. (2012), Plagiarism: An assault on the integrity of scientific research. J. Orthop. Res., 30:  1867 1868. Granitz, N. and Loewy, D. (2007). Applying Ethical Theories: Interpreting and Responding to Student Plagiarism. Journal of Business Ethics, 72(3), 293-306. Luke, B. and Kearins, K. (2012), Attribution of words versus attribution of responsibilities: Academic plagiarism and university practice. Vaccine, 30(50):

Monday, December 23, 2019

Assessment of Gordon Gekkos Personality Using a Mbti...

The aim of this essay is to assess Gordon Gekko character ‘s personality from an Oliver Stone’s Movie â€Å"The Wall street, Money Never Sleeps† using the Myers Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) framework and Personality Type Theory. THE MBTI The MBTI is an instrument designed to evaluate people and provide descriptive profiles of their personality types. It classifies people into sixteen broad and distinctive personality types based on Carl Jung’s theory of perception and judgement. The MBTI model was developed by Katharine Cook Briggs and her daughter Isabel Briggs Meyers. The two women shared a passion for better understanding the human development. They believed that prediction of people’s patterns of behaviour and finding the keys that would†¦show more content†¦Type B personalities are contradictory to Type A. They can be described as easy-going, friendly, calm and relaxed people. They usually work at steady pace and hard to get frustrated, generally lacking sense of urgency. These people are ideal team members and easily led by their leader. Gordon Gekko can be characterized as a Type A personality without any doubt. In the first half of the movie, Gordon Gekko is shown as a man in his late fifty’s, who is released from the prison after being poisoned for insider trading and fraud. Ten years behind the bars have not changed his nature and he has no regrets about his past. He is still that practical, greedy, aggressive and ruthless person who could go to any extent for his long-awaited return. In the subsequent half, Gordon’s character evolves to a much more sensitive person who tries to reconcile with his only child, Winnie. Gekko’s estranged daughter blames him for all the sorrows, for being constantly absent and ignorant to his wife and children. All his attempts to make amends with Winnie fail. He then decides to persuade Jacob to help him out to make peace and repair a damaged relationship with daughter. Gordon intentionally uses Winnie’s fiancà ©e to achieve his goal by breaking the promise. Nevertheless, after some time he realize that Winnie, Jacob and his ne wborn grandson are the priority and the most important people to take